ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  52
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0300 UTC MON OCT 17 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N  45.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 300SE 330SW 330NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 780SE 960SW 720NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N  45.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.1N  45.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.6N  44.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 330SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 44.3N  41.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 330SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 48.9N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT...180NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...390NE 420SE 360SW 390NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 53.6N  37.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 420SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 62.2N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...330NE 360SE 300SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.5N  45.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


NNNN