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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0300 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  61.2W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 120SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 400SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  61.2W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.6N  58.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.9N  54.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 200SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.1N  51.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  50SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.6N  49.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 160NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 270SW 360NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.0N  47.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 300SW 360NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 41.0N  44.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 47.0N  37.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N  61.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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