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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  65.4W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  65.4W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  65.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.4N  65.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.2N  65.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.1N  65.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.0N  65.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.6N  65.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.8N  64.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 34.9N  59.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  65.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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