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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0900 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  65.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  65.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  65.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.3N  65.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.9N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.9N  65.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N  65.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N  66.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N  65.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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