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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
2100 UTC THU OCT 06 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  65.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  65.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  65.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.9N  65.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.6N  65.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.0N  64.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 26.5N  64.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.4N  65.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.4N  66.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.4N  67.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  65.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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