Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane MATTHEW


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  44               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016               
0300 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
34.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE HENLOPEN  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DANVILLE VA    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  6   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34 12   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CAPE HATTERAS  50 29   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CHERRY PT NC   50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW RIVER NC   50 89   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
NEW RIVER NC   64  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY  50 86   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SURF CITY NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SURF CITY NC   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL  64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN