ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0300 UTC WED OCT 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WATCHES FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET...AND FOR
LAKE OKEECHOBEE...HAVE BEEN CHANGED TO HURRICANE WARNINGS. THE
HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA
COUNTY LINE. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
GOLDEN BEACH HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ADDED FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO OCEAN
REEF...AND FOR FLORIDA BAY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
HAITI

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  74.4W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  74.4W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  74.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.7N  74.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.3N  76.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N  77.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.7N  79.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.3N  80.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 33.2N  78.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 37.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  74.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


NNNN