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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
2100 UTC THU SEP 29 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO
RIOHACHA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE...CURACAO...AND ARUBA
* COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO RIOHACHA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.  INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...
HISPANIOLA...AND EASTERN CUBA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MATTHEW.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  67.8W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT.......110NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE  50SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 150SE 120SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  67.8W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  67.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 14.0N  69.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.8N  71.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.7N  72.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.7N  73.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.7N  75.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.6N  75.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 22.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  67.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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