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TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
0300 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  32.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  32.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  31.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.0N  34.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.0N  37.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.8N  39.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N  42.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  80SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.1N  47.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE   0SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.8N  52.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 19.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  32.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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