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Tropical Storm JULIA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016               
2100 UTC WED SEP 14 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   2(13)   1(14)   1(15)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   6(14)   4(18)   1(19)   X(19)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  1   9(10)   8(18)   7(25)   4(29)   1(30)   1(31)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  1   5( 6)   4(10)   5(15)   4(19)   1(20)   1(21)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   5(13)   2(15)   1(16)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  1  13(14)   9(23)   7(30)   3(33)   2(35)   X(35)
LITTLE RIVER   50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  4  19(23)   8(31)   7(38)   4(42)   1(43)   1(44)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34 23  21(44)   7(51)   5(56)   2(58)   1(59)   1(60)
GEORGETOWN SC  50  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
GEORGETOWN SC  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CHARLESTON SC  50  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   1(11)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34 58   5(63)   1(64)   2(66)   4(70)   1(71)   X(71)
BEAUFORT MCAS  50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
BEAUFORT MCAS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   6(11)   3(14)   2(16)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34 15   4(19)   2(21)   5(26)   9(35)   2(37)   1(38)
SAVANNAH GA    50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
SAVANNAH GA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)  10(16)   3(19)   1(20)
KINGS BAY GA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   3(15)   2(17)
WAYCROSS GA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)  10(15)   3(18)   2(20)
MAYPORT NS FL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   4(16)   1(17)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   1(11)
 
THE VILLAGES   34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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