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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016
500 PM EDT WED SEP 14 2016

...JULIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHEASTWARD JUST OFF THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES COAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.1N 80.5W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM E OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was
located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 80.5 West.  Julia is
moving toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a slow and
erratic motion is expected over the next couple of days.  Julia is
likely to meander near the northern Georgia and southern South
Carolina coastlines into Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Winds to tropical storm force in a few brief squalls are
possible along portions of the South Carolina coast tonight.
Folly Beach, South Carolina reported a wind gust to 43 mph (69
km/h).

RAINFALL: Julia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches, with local amounts of up to 6 inches along the
immediate coastline of South Carolina and southeast North Carolina
through Friday.  This rainfall could lead to flooding and
flash flooding.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible near the Charleston
area of coastal South Carolina through this evening.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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