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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016               
0900 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED    
NEAR LATITUDE 39.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                    
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
AUGUSTA ME     34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CONCORD NH     34  5   2( 7)   2( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
PORTSMOUTH NH  34  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
WORCESTER MA   34  9   5(14)   4(18)   5(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 12   6(18)   4(22)   6(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
BOSTON MA      34  7   4(11)   2(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 11   5(16)   3(19)   7(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 14   5(19)   4(23)   7(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 18   5(23)   5(28)   8(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BRIDGEPORT CT  34 35  12(47)   7(54)   3(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  2   3( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
NEW HAVEN CT   34 32  11(43)   7(50)   3(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HARTFORD CT    34 18   9(27)   6(33)   5(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
HARTFORD CT    50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34 33   8(41)   7(48)   5(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
NEW LONDON CT  50  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ALBANY NY      34  6   3( 9)   2(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
POUGHKEEPSIE   34 12   8(20)   4(24)   4(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MONTAUK POINT  50  5   2( 7)   2( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
ISLIP NY       34 55  10(65)   7(72)   2(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
ISLIP NY       50  6   5(11)   4(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
ISLIP NY       64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 43  14(57)   7(64)   2(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  2   6( 8)   2(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 32  14(46)   7(53)   3(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NEWARK NJ      34 30  13(43)   7(50)   3(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
NEWARK NJ      50  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
TRENTON NJ     34 21  15(36)   7(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
TRENTON NJ     50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NWS EARLE NJ   34 41  16(57)   5(62)   3(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  3   5( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ALLENTOWN PA   34 10   7(17)   5(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
PHILADELPHIA   34 17  13(30)   6(36)   3(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 33  15(48)   6(54)   3(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  5   3( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
DOVER DE       34 11   9(20)   4(24)   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  5   4( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34 14  12(26)   5(31)   2(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 10   8(18)   4(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34  4   4( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  7   5(12)   2(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               
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