Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016               
2100 UTC MON SEP 05 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED    
NEAR LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                    
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
YARMOUTH NS    34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  4   5( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  9   6(15)   1(16)   2(18)   4(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
CONCORD NH     34 11   8(19)   3(22)   1(23)   4(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
PORTSMOUTH NH  34 14   8(22)   2(24)   2(26)   4(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
WORCESTER MA   34 28  12(40)   3(43)   2(45)   3(48)   X(48)   X(48)
WORCESTER MA   50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 24  14(38)   4(42)   2(44)   3(47)   X(47)   X(47)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BOSTON MA      34 30   9(39)   3(42)   3(45)   4(49)   X(49)   X(49)
BOSTON MA      50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 60   6(66)   2(68)   2(70)   2(72)   X(72)   X(72)
HYANNIS MA     50  9   4(13)   1(14)   1(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NANTUCKET MA   50 31   3(34)   1(35)   X(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 53  10(63)   3(66)   3(69)   2(71)   X(71)   X(71)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  8   7(15)   3(18)   1(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)
PROVIDENCE RI  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BRIDGEPORT CT  34 34  18(52)   5(57)   4(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  2   8(10)   3(13)   1(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
NEW HAVEN CT   34 38  16(54)   5(59)   4(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  3   8(11)   3(14)   1(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
HARTFORD CT    34 33  14(47)   5(52)   3(55)   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)
HARTFORD CT    50  2   4( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34 54  12(66)   4(70)   3(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
NEW LONDON CT  50 10  12(22)   2(24)   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
NEW LONDON CT  64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
ALBANY NY      34  9   9(18)   2(20)   1(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
POUGHKEEPSIE   34 14  13(27)   5(32)   2(34)   2(36)   X(36)   X(36)
POUGHKEEPSIE   50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 66  10(76)   2(78)   3(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
MONTAUK POINT  50 24  14(38)   2(40)   1(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
MONTAUK POINT  64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLIP NY       34 41  16(57)   6(63)   4(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)
ISLIP NY       50  3  10(13)   3(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
ISLIP NY       64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 26  19(45)   6(51)   4(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 22  17(39)   6(45)   3(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEWARK NJ      34 18  16(34)   6(40)   3(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
NEWARK NJ      50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TRENTON NJ     34 11  13(24)   5(29)   2(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
NWS EARLE NJ   34 20  17(37)   6(43)   3(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ALLENTOWN PA   34  7   8(15)   3(18)   1(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
PHILADELPHIA   34  8  12(20)   3(23)   2(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 12  13(25)   6(31)   2(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  2   6( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
DOVER DE       34  5   8(13)   3(16)   1(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  2   6( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34  6   9(15)   3(18)   1(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  5   7(12)   3(15)   1(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34  2   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  4   6(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
NNNN