ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
1500 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD
FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WEST OF WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND LONG ISLAND SOUND AND NEW YORK CITY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WATCH HILL RHODE
ISLAND TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
MARTHAS VINEYARD NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCRACOKE INLET TO WEST OF WATCH HILL
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD
* TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD
* DELAWARE BAY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL TO SAGAMORE BEACH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITH 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N  75.2W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE  30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 260SE 120SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N  75.2W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N  75.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 37.1N  73.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE   0SW 110NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 120SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.9N  71.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 38.4N  71.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...150NE  70SE  90SW 150NW.
34 KT...220NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 38.7N  71.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.5N  71.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 40.4N  70.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N  67.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N  75.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


NNNN