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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062016
0300 UTC WED AUG 17 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  34.1W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  34.1W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  33.6W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.7N  35.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.2N  37.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.8N  38.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.1N  40.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.0N  43.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 22.5N  46.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 25.0N  50.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  34.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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