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TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032016
0900 UTC MON JUN 06 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INDIAN PASS TO ENGLEWOOD
* ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SEBASTIAN INLET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF COLIN.  ADDITIONAL WARNINGS
AND WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF THIS AREA LATER THIS
MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  87.4W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 160SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  87.4W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  87.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.6N  85.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 30.7N  81.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 160SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 33.8N  76.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 100SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 37.6N  67.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 100SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 45.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 120SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 50.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 54.0N  29.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  87.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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