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Tropical Storm BONNIE


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
1100 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...BONNIE A BIT STRONGER BUT THE MAIN THREAT IS HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 79.5W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF BEAUFORT SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near
latitude 31.0 North, longitude 79.5 West. Bonnie is currently
stationary. A motion toward the north-northwest is expected to begin
overnight, followed by a turn toward the north as the center of
Bonnie moves near the coast in the warning area on Sunday. A slow
northeastward motion near the central and northern coast of South
Carolina is expected Sunday night and Monday.

Data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have
increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change
in strength is expected overnight. Some weakening is expected to
begin by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the northwest of the center.

The latest estimated minimum central pressure based on data from
the aircraft is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts around 6 inches from central
and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border. Rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected across southeastern
North Carolina.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area overnight or early Sunday.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the
next high tide on Sunday morning.

SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States
coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado will be possible late tonight and
early Sunday over the immediate South Carolina coastal region.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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