Hurricane ALEX

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HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
1500 UTC THU JAN 14 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE AZORES METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE ISLANDS OF FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...AND TERCEIRA IN
THE CENTRAL AZORES...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS
OF SAO MIGUEL AND SANTA MARIA IN THE EASTERN AZORES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL
AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO MIGUEL AND SANTA MARIA IN THE EASTERN AZORES

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  28.4W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 100SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 140SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  28.4W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  28.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.3N  27.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.9N  27.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 45.3N  28.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...210NE 150SE   0SW 120NW.
34 KT...420NE 480SE 180SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 53.0N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 150SE   0SW 150NW.
34 KT...420NE 660SE 240SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N  28.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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