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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015
200 PM MST WED NOV 18 2015

...DEPRESSION NEARLY STATIONARY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...12.8N 107.0W
ABOUT 465 MI...745 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 107.0
West.  The depression is nearly stationary.  An erratic or slow
northward motion is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the
northwest and then the west-northwest with an increase in forward
speed on Thursday and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression should become a tropical storm on Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

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