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HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015
2100 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 134.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 134.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.6N 133.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z  9.9N 135.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 10.3N 137.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.0N 139.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.8N 140.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.7N 143.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 16.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.7N 134.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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