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HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015
0900 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 131.9W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 120SE  90SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 131.9W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.3N 131.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z  9.6N 133.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  90SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 10.0N 135.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 10.6N 136.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.3N 138.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 13.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 15.0N 143.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.4N 131.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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