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TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172015
0900 UTC MON SEP 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO...MEXICO TO LAZARO CARDENAS...MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH
AREA LATER THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  20SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 103.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.0N 102.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.3N 102.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.6N 102.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.9N 102.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.5N 106.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 103.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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