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TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152015
200 AM PDT THU SEP 10 2015

Linda continues to decay.  Much of the deep convection has now
dissipated, and the cyclone is weakening over cool water and within
a stable air mass.  A pair of ASCAT passes recently sampled the
circulation of Linda and revealed that the winds and are near 40
kt. This is in agreement with an average of the Dvorak Final T- and
CI-numbers from TAFB and SAB.  The scatterometer data also
indicated that the size of the tropical storm force wind field has
decreased considerably and is confined to an area within 60 n mi
north of the center. Additional weakening is forecast since sea
surface temperatures are expected to decrease even more along the
projected path.  Linda will likely become a tropical depression
later today and a remnant low by tonight. Dissipation is forecast to
occur in about 4 days, following the global model guidance.

The weakening storm is moving northwestward at 8 kt.  A gradual
turn to the west-northwest and then west with a decrease in forward
speed is predicted over the next few days as the cyclone is steered
by the low-level flow.  The NHC track forecast is adjusted a little
to the right of the previous one and is very near a consensus of
the GFS and ECMWF models.

Large swells from Linda are affecting the Pacific coast of the Baja
California peninsula and southern California.  These swells could
continue for another day or so.  In addition, some of Linda's mid-
and upper-level moisture is spreading northward into portions of the
southwestern U.S., which could trigger locally heavy rainfall. For
additional information, please consult products issued by the NOAA
Weather Prediction Center and your local NWS forecast office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  10/0900Z 25.6N 118.2W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  10/1800Z 26.3N 118.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  11/0600Z 26.9N 119.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  11/1800Z 27.3N 120.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  12/0600Z 27.5N 121.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  13/0600Z 27.6N 122.3W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  14/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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