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HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152015
300 PM MDT MON SEP 07 2015

After strengthening at a rapid pace for the past day or so, it
appears that Linda's intensity is leveling off.  The cloud pattern
has not changed much since the last advisory and consists of a well
organized central dense overcast with very cold cloud tops.  There
remains no evidence of an eye in geostationary satellite pictures,
although a ragged eye is apparent in microwave images.  The latest
Dvorak classifications from TAFB and SAB are both 5.0/90 kt, so the
initial wind speed is nudged upward to that value.

Linda could strengthen a little more through tonight while it
remains over warm water and in a moist and relatively low shear
environment.  After that time, however, cooler water and a dry and
stable air mass should promote steady weakening.  The new NHC
intensity forecast is largely an update of the previous one and is
in fair agreement with the intensity model consensus.  This forecast
calls for Linda to degenerate into a remnant low in about 4 days
when the cyclone is expected to be over sea surface temperatures of
about 24 deg C.

The hurricane is still moving northwestward but at a slightly
slower forward speed than earlier, 320/10 kt.  A continued
northwestward motion at about the same forward speed is predicted
for the next 24 to 36 hours while a mid-level high pressure system
remains centered over northern Mexico and the southern United
States. After that time, the storm is expected to decelerate, as the
high shifts westward and weakens, and then turn gradually westward
once it becomes a shallow system by the end of the forecast period.
The NHC track forecast is adjusted to the right of the previous one,
especially at days 3-5, to come into better agreement with the
latest consensus aids.

Although Linda is forecast to remain well offshore of the Baja
California peninsula, large swells are expected to affect portions
of the west coast of that peninsula during the next few days.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  07/2100Z 18.3N 112.7W   90 KT 105 MPH
 12H  08/0600Z 19.6N 113.7W   95 KT 110 MPH
 24H  08/1800Z 21.2N 114.8W   90 KT 105 MPH
 36H  09/0600Z 22.7N 115.8W   80 KT  90 MPH
 48H  09/1800Z 24.0N 116.7W   65 KT  75 MPH
 72H  10/1800Z 25.8N 118.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 96H  11/1800Z 26.4N 120.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  12/1800Z 26.4N 122.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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