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Tropical Depression FOURTEEN-E


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.1N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.1N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 115.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS


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