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HURRICANE IGNACIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X 18(18) 61(79) 7(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87)
15N 145W 50 X 3( 3) 44(47) 7(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56)
15N 145W 64 X 1( 1) 26(27) 7(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 3(16) X(16)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20(25) 7(32) 1(33)
15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 17(40) 4(44)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 2(17)
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 20(37) 6(43)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16)
20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 20(33) 4(37)
BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13)
BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 10(28)
20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10)
20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 9(21)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18)
BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BRADSHAW AAF 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13)
18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14)
21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
21N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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