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TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
2100 UTC TUE AUG 25 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 133.1W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 133.1W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 132.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.9N 134.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 12.9N 135.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.2N 137.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 13.9N 139.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.4N 142.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 16.7N 146.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 18.1N 149.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 133.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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