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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015
0300 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) 7(26)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 6(23)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 6(16)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 4(13)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 5(15) 3(18)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 10(19) 3(22) 3(25)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 11(20) 8(28) 2(30) 4(34)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18) 6(24) 2(26) 3(29)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
L CARDENAS 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 2(13) 1(14) 2(16)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 2(11)
ACAPULCO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 16(40) 7(47)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 3(17)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) 7(24) 4(28)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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