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BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
900 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2015

...DOLORES STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 111.8W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dolores was located
near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 111.8 West.  Dolores is moving
toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A west-northwestward to
northwestward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected
through early Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Dolores is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is expected to begin later
today, and Dolores could be a tropical storm by early Saturday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).  Gusts to tropical storm force were still occurring on
Socorro Island a couple of hours ago but should continue to
diminish during the day.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores are affecting portions of the
coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur.  These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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