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BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
900 PM MDT MON JUL 13 2015

...DOLORES MOVING SLOWLY...
...LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 106.9W
ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dolores was
located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 106.9 West. Dolores is
moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Dolores is expected to become a major hurricane on Wednesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Additional rainfall amounts of up to an inch will be
possible from some of the outer bands of Dolores affecting the
southwestern coast of Mexico in the states of Colima and Jalisco.

SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores are expected to affect the
southwestern coast of Mexico and the Baja California peninsula
during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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