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HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
2100 UTC THU JUL 16 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 112.7W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 112.7W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 112.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.6N 113.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.1N 115.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.7N 116.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.0N 118.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.8N 121.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 30.0N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 30.5N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 112.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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