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TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
2100 UTC THU JUN 11 2015

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  12(20)   3(23)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)  13(22)   3(25)
MANZANILLO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
MANZANILLO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

L CARDENAS     34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   8(15)  19(34)   7(41)   1(42)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
L CARDENAS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  1   2( 3)   7(10)  11(21)  16(37)   5(42)   1(43)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
ZIHUATANEJO    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

ACAPULCO       34  1   6( 7)  13(20)  12(32)   9(41)   1(42)   1(43)
ACAPULCO       50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
ACAPULCO       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

P MALDONADO    34  1   4( 5)   7(12)   7(19)   5(24)   1(25)   X(25)
P MALDONADO    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

P ANGEL        34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)

HUATULCO       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY
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