ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
100 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...CARLOS WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION NEAR THE COAST OF WESTERN
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 105.5W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlos
was located along the coast of western Mexico near latitude 19.9
North, longitude 105.5 West.  Carlos is moving toward the
north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is
expected to continue until dissipation occurs on Thursday.  On the
forecast track, the center of Carlos will move near or along the
western coast of Mexico today, and move into the southern Gulf of
California late tonight or Thursday morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the next
couple of days, and Carlos is forecast to degenerate into a remnant
low this afternoon or evening and dissipate on Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlos is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of  1 to 2 inches across the Mexican states of Jalisco
and Colima.  These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods
and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. During the
past 24 hours, an automated observation station at Chamelaciuxmala,
Mexico, reported 1.54 inches (39 mm) of rainfall.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos will continue to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so.  These
swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

NNNN