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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BLANCA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
600 PM MDT SUN JUN 07 2015

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 111.1W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Loreto to Punta Abreojos, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Loreto to Mulege

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blanca was
located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 111.1 West.  Blanca is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of
days.  On the forecast track, the center of Blanca will approach the
southwest coast of the Baja California peninsula this evening, and
move near or along the coast tonight and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours,
and Blanca is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression by Monday
afternoon or evening.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.  During the past few hours, the Cabo San Lucas
International Airport has reported sustained winds of 46 mph (74
km/h) and a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occurring over the southern
portion of the warning area.  Tropical storm conditions should
spread northward elsewhere within the warning area this evening and
Monday.

RAINFALL:  Blanca is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over much of Baja California Sur and the southern half
of the state of Baja California, with isolated maximum amounts of 10
inches over Baja California Sur.  These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.  Rainfall associated
with Blanca may begin to affect portions of the southwestern United
States on Tuesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of
southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California
peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California.  These swells will
likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.  For
additional information, please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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