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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
0900 UTC MON JUN 01 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 104.0W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 104.0W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 103.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.7N 104.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.7N 104.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.1N 105.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 106.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 17.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 104.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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