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TROPICAL STORM KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122015
1500 UTC TUE NOV 10 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  74.7W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  74.7W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  75.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 32.5N  71.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 35.3N  64.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 37.8N  56.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 100SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 40.5N  51.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 42.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 240SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 47.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 55.5N  22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N  74.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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