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HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
1500 UTC MON OCT 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  64.6W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 420SE 420SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  64.6W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N  64.9W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.3N  63.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 38.0N  59.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 170SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.3N  54.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 180SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.5N  47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 110SE 110SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 240SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 42.5N  32.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 110SE 110SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 240SE 240SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 44.0N  21.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 45.1N  15.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N  64.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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