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TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102015
0300 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  37.5W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  37.5W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  37.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.7N  38.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.8N  40.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.9N  43.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.1N  47.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.7N  48.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 20.3N  47.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  37.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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