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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression EIGHT


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT                                           
SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1                         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082015               
0430 UTC WED SEP 09 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 0430Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  26(26)   X(26)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  25(27)   X(27)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  18(24)   X(24)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)   X(15)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)   X(12)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   5(22)   X(22)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   7(20)   X(20)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  32(32)   9(41)   X(41)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   1(16)   X(16)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
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