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TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  27.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N  29.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N  31.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.6N  32.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N  34.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  28.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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