Hurricane VANCE
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HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014
2100 UTC MON NOV 03 2014
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
VANCE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.8W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.8W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 110.8W
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.8N 110.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.6N 109.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.4N 108.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N 108.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N 108.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 110.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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