Tropical Storm SIMON

ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
800 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2014

...SIMON CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 117.4W
ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.4 WEST.  SIMON IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND SIMON IS
LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 9 INCHES OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF SONORA IN NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO.  BEGINNING ON TUESDAY...RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. DESERT SOUTHWEST.  THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE
FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  SWELLS FROM SIMON ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST TODAY AND TUESDAY.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS.  SWELLS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY
THROUGHOUT THESE AREAS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

NNNN