Hurricane SIMON

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HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
1500 UTC SAT OCT 04 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.8W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.8W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 113.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.0N 115.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.2N 116.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.1N 117.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.7N 117.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 26.5N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 113.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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