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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm ODILE


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TROPICAL STORM ODILE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 55 KT

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

YUMA AZ        34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

P ABREOJOS     34 46   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   1(47)   X(47)   X(47)

LORETO         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LORETO         50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

P PENASCO      34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   6(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)

HERMOSILLO     34  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

BAHIA KINO     34 22   5(27)   1(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)

GUAYMAS        34 17   1(18)   X(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

HUATABAMPO     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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