Tropical Storm ODILE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

...ODILE CROSSING THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.1N 113.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH
OF BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN
JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO PENASCO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND MOVE INTO
NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL...BUT
RAPID WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER ODILE MOVES INLAND OVER MAINLAND
MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS...AND ALSO FROM NEAR SAN FELIPE AROUND THE
FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR PUERTO PENASCO.  NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING
WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 18 INCHES ACROSS THE MEXICAN
STATE OF SONORA.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

MOISTURE AHEAD OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3
TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
ARIZONA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO...POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO
WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
SWELLS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE TODAY.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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