Tropical Storm ODILE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2014

...ODILE MOVING OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...AND THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 113.6W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA ROSALIA
TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO PENASCO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.6 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND MOVE INTO NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND
MEXICO LATER ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...BUT
RAPID WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER ODILE MOVES INLAND OVER MAINLAND
MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS...AND ALSO FROM NEAR SAN FELIPE
AROUND THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR PUERTO
PENASCO.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DAMAGING WAVES.

ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 18 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

MOISTURE AHEAD OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3
TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
ARIZONA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO...POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO
WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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