Hurricane ODILE

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HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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