Tropical Storm ODILE

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TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC WED SEP 10 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.9W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.9W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.8W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.1N 103.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.3N 103.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.5N 103.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.9N 103.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.6N 104.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 20.9N 107.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 24.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 102.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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