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Hurricane NORBERT


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE NORBERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014               
0300 UTC SAT SEP 06 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAN DIEGO CA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
LONG BEACH/LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ENSENADA       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
P ABREOJOS     34 25  32(57)   4(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
P ABREOJOS     50  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LA PAZ         34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
LORETO         34  7   5(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GUAYMAS        34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CULIACAN       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  
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