Hurricane NORBERT

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
200 AM PDT SAT SEP 06 2014

...NORBERT MOVING AWAY FROM CABO SAN LAZARO...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
THROUGH SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 113.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM W OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SSE OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO
LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH
OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO PUNTA EUGENIA
* SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST. NORBERT IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.  A GENERAL
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF NORBERT WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  NORBERT IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE CENTER OF NORBERT MOVES OVER COLDER
WATER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SPREADING
NORTHWARD WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS THROUGH SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH SUNDAY.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH NORBERT AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.  LARGE SWELLS
AFFECTING THE COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WILL
SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE PENINSULA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND
RIP CURRENTS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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